On Modernity and Fuckups
Someone points out that my additions on the history of white rice do not trump the core point of the OP, which is that European meddling did ultimately lead to a beriberi epidemic in Asia. Yes, this is broadly correct. If we want to move on from establishing the historical facts to assigning guilt though, I would also point out that people within the western scientific-technological tradition are also responsible for most of the efforts to fix this — identifying that beriberi is vitamin B1 deficiency, identifying rice bran as rich in B1, putting two and two together and concluding that it was the specifically the introduction of cheap white rice that created the beriberi epidemic in the first place, researching ways to extract B1, introducing B1 supplements on the market, providing these whereever the need is the most urgent, running campaigns to educate people on nutritional needs and the importance of some variability in diets.
(to be sure, I have no idea how many of the people involved in these discoveries were ethnically Europeans, but I claim with confidence that all of them were modernized, i.e. roughly culturally western — native Asian scientific and coordinated social welfare traditions were much behind the West, and would not have worked out any other kind of a solution than, perhaps, complete rollback by banning white rice. You could moreover argue that “modern” should be distinguished here from “western”, but then you’d also need to notice that this “European” meddling was exclusively the work of the international heralds of modernity, and average European peasantfolk from Moravia or Savonia or Ohio had nothing to do with any of it.)
…anyway, with the net result being, I would argue, ultimately positive: the world now has both white rice as an easily available commodity, plus the knowledge of its associated nutritional risks + how to address them. If none of this process had happened, there would have still been people in Asia suffering in poverty, just due to hunger rather than beriberi. Without “European meddling”, this could have continued to be the case for centuries still — unlike the beriberi problem, which is both fixable and actively being fixed.
This general type of a thing has however happened repeatedly with modernization: “we” (= entrepreneurs with access to modern science and technology) invent some nifty tool or procedure or chemical, and a few decades later “we” (= medical scientists and public health officials) figure out that actually it has significant harmful consequences to “us” (= usually, poorer people in particular) and ought to be rolled back in part or in whole.
A few of the more severe cases you have likely heard of:
- DDT, which is a great pesticide, but also causes birth defects
- freons, which enable cheap powerful refrigeration, but also fuck up the ozone layer
- nuclear power, a highly effective source of energy, but if done with poor security, leads to meltdowns that leave hundreds of km² inhabitable and the ground zero site lethal for centuries
- bisphenol A and friends, which are convenient plastic additives, but also cause poor sperm quality, threatening reproductive viability
- tobacco, which is a fun pastime, but also causes addiction and respiratory system cancers
(in the last case we have an example of an innovation that originated somewhere else, but was then aggressively commodified and marketed by modern capitalism)
On one hand, these fuckups are more or less a package deal with the numerous boons of modernization (advanced medicine, improved crops, industrial fertilizers, telecommunications, metallurgy, electricity, robotics…) There is so far no evidence that humanity would be able to put together such thing as “modernity, except it does not ever invent a DDT”. Every so often we only learn from experience that something was a bad idea. By now we’ve invented concepts like tail risk and black swans and unknown unknowns to be a bit more prepared, but they too still confirm the point: we cannot anticipate all the side effects of technological development.
On the other hand, it‘s not like we can decide to stop, either. Knowledge cannot be put back into Pandora’s box, short of apocalyptic mass destruction of all modern societies, or perhaps "merely” dystopian totalitarianist lockdown. Never mind even that these would be a cure much worse than the disease: if even just one nation’s industrial and scientific base survives in some form, there would be rebuilding and rediscovery, perhaps including recapitulation of old mistakes. — Also, while all of this is going on, who’s keeping an eye on the containment of e.g. all the highly dangerous nuclear waste we have lying around? We really don’t want that shit just getting loose in the environment. The only generally applicable cure for modernity’s past mistakes is improved and better-regulated modernity.
My primary concern about modernity is therefore not the gradual learning-from-mistakes. There are people who lose out, but also many more people whose lives end up ultimately better off. It’s the whole lock-in aspect of it, combined with the possibility that some day we commit a mistake too big to fix. Perhaps sooner than we think: if we really botch up the response to climate change, the death toll could be astronomical (there are by now billions of people living in vulnerable coastal areas). At that point it would be a little gauche to reply “but we did get to ride on cars for a century or so, isn’t that still something”. I believe it is a bit early for wholesale demonization of modernity, but that still an option that remains on the table. It probably always will, too. Today climate change, tomorrow the risk of space elevators falling out of orbit, the day after tomorrow, I dunno, Earth’s orbit instability due to mass/momentum increases from asteroid mining?
In a sense this isn’t even about modernity as much as cultural evolution. “Natural” inventions like language and agriculture have had quite major negative side effects as well (just ask any mammoth, any Neanderthalian, any hunter-gatherer), just on a slower timescale. We’ve been on this ride for a long time, and modernization is just one particularly steep hill along the way.
And getting back to the question of who to blame for all of this… why should we presume anyone is in charge of history at all? (Other than the general human urge to look for simple targets for blame.) If we were to restrict ourselves to assigning blame individually, cases like beriberi break apart into dozens, perhaps hundreds of people, none of whom can be considered the definitive broken link in the chain (and all of whom are long dead, also). Designing rice milling machines surely is not a crime in itself, neither is being being willing to pay for easily storeable rice, nor is trying to make a living with shipping rice, nor is following and supporting a new culinary fashion. And so no one ever manages to make specific accusations with these things — just vague collective guilt pointed at unimpeachable egregores like “Europeans” or “imperialism” or “capitalism” or “modernity”.