Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook issued by the National Hurricane Center in Miami, FL, USA
2023-08-21, 02:00 EDT
Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories recently upgraded Tropical Storm Gert, located several hundred miles east of the northern Leeward Islands, on Tropical Storm Emily, located a little over 1000 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, and on Tropical Storm Franklin, located over the eastern Caribbean Sea.
Western Gulf of Mexico (AL91): Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a trough of low pressure located in the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear favorable for development of this system while it moves westward at about 15 to 20 mph across the central Gulf of Mexico. A tropical depression or storm is likely to form while it approaches the western Gulf of Mexico coastline by Tuesday. Interests in the western Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. Tropical storm watches or warnings may be necessary on Monday for portions of the southern Texas and northern Mexico coastlines.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL92): A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern tropical Atlantic is associated with a tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week while it moves west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent.
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Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Emily are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Emily are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Franklin are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Franklin are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.
$$ Forecaster Roberts