Hi, Butterfly. I have a question concerning Theon Greyjoy. If the events from the start of the novels onward never happened and the Starks remained happily in Winterfell, what kind of future would Theon have had? Would he ever be allowed to return to Pyke? Theon seemed to think that Ned might have married him to Sansa eventually, but that seems unlikely. What kind of future does a highborn prisoner of war have in Westeros?
Well… I’ve discussed this subject a few times before (1, 2, and links within those posts), and y’know… like with Jon Snow, there’s very little evidence that Ned had any kind of plan for Theon’s future. Theon was a child hostage, starting at age 10… but 9 years on, a grown man, he was still a hostage to prevent his father from starting up a new rebellion. (Not that it helped.) Of course, you don’t need to be a child to be a hostage, but it did leave Theon’s life with no direction – while he was noble and a “ward” of the Starks, he can’t hold land, he can’t marry, he can’t start a family – it’s permanent arrested development.
Anyway. Sometimes it’s really sad that Ned Stark’s POV is only in AGOT, with so much of it focused on the plot instead of all the little details of everyday life we could use for our what-ifs. (ADWD-style GRRM writing Ned… sigh…) Since all we have of Ned’s POV re Theon is two (fairly useless) lines, all we can do is guess. So I’m guessing that Ned might have been waiting for Balon to die, and then maybe would have sent Theon home as a North-sympathetic heir… with a northern army to secure his seat from his uncles, and to make sure he doesn’t become Balon II.
Although, if Balon managed to live as long as Walder Frey, what would have become of Theon in that case I have no idea. OK, some idea… maybe eventually Ned would have arranged Theon’s marriage to a bannerman’s daughter* for the extra alliance there, and maybe sent Theon (with an army) to depose his father (or uncle)… but that seems unusually ambitious for Ned, so maybe not.
*(Sansa was only “a child’s fancy”, and yes, extremely unlikely. And a hostage can have their marriage arranged by their captor, though note forced vows are invalid – however, a marriage wouldn’t necessarily have been against Theon’s will if the girl were pretty enough and/or brought him the kind of security he was longing for. If I had to guess, I’d think one of the Manderly girls would be the best option (probably the elder, Wynafryd), especially since White Harbor is on the Narrow Sea and Wyman Manderly would really like a fleet.)
Or maybe Theon would have just stayed in the North forever and formed a northern cadet house of House Greyjoy, kind of like how there’s a House Kenning (of Harlaw) in the Iron Islands and a House Kenning (of Kayce) in the Westerlands. And yeah, maybe he would be a hostage always… like, Jaime plans to imprison Edmure Tully in Casterly Rock with his wife and (hopeful) daughter and who knows possibly future children too, for all the rest of his life, so that could have been Theon’s fate as well.
Or maybe not. Maybe Ned actually did have some kind of plan for Theon, something completely different. But the events of the novels happened instead, so I suppose we’ll never know.